SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Peterborough United |
41.53% ( 1.19) | 24.28% ( 0.45) | 34.19% ( -1.64) |
| Both teams to score 59.95% ( -2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.36% ( -2.51) | 42.64% ( 2.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.96% ( -2.55) | 65.04% ( 2.54) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -0.52) | 20.67% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.73% ( -0.83) | 53.26% ( 0.83) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( -2.06) | 24.43% ( 2.06) |
