SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Burton Albion |
64.13% ( 0.02) | 19.99% ( -0.01) | 15.88% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( 0.02) | 41.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( 0.02) | 63.57% ( -0.02) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.85% ( 0.01) | 12.15% ( -0.01) |
