SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Peterborough United |
30.05% ( 0.02) | 25.8% ( 0.01) | 44.14% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.16% ( -0.02) | 50.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( -0.02) | 72.72% ( 0.02) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( 0.01) | 31.09% ( -0.01) |
