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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kassam Stadium
CT
Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')

We said: Oxford United 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Having lost only one of their last 11 games in League One, Oxford will be full of confidence heading into the New Year and will be strong favourites to come away with all three points against Cheltenham. With the visitors looking vulnerable at the back, a routine win for the U's could be on the cards at the Kassam Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
61.57%20.88%17.55%
Both teams to score 54.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83%42.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43%64.57%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.81%13.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.1%39.9%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5%37.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72%74.28%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 61.56%
    Cheltenham Town 17.55%
    Draw 20.88%
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 10.14%
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 6.72%
4-0 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-0 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 61.56%
1-1 @ 9.83%
0-0 @ 4.94%
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.88%
0-1 @ 4.85%
1-2 @ 4.82%
0-2 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.6%
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 17.55%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth44298778463295
2Ipswich TownIpswich442713493336094
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley442671176413585
5Bolton WanderersBolton4421121157342375
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln441320114444059
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers431410195568-1352
16Burton Albion431410195678-2252
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham441311204059-1950
18Port Vale441310214565-2049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441014204554-944
20MK Dons441110234062-2243
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Accrington StanleyAccrington441011233774-3741
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327
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