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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Whaddon Road
LC
Cheltenham
2 - 2
Lincoln
May (17'), Blair (90+5')
Long (59'), Raglan (69'), May (71'), Williams (90+3'), Pollock (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bishop (69', 90+1')
Bridcutt (65'), McGrandles (75')

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-0 Lincoln City

Lincoln cannot buy a goal at the moment, and the fact that they only had two shots on target against one of the worst defences in the league last time out suggests that their troubles may not be over yet. Cheltenham will also be coming into this match short of confidence - and their recent defensive record should give Lincoln some belief that they might end their drought - but the hosts should still have enough to claim all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
29.21%26.27%44.53%
Both teams to score 51.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.9%53.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.32%74.68%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12%32.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54%69.46%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26%23.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12%57.88%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 29.21%
    Lincoln City 44.52%
    Draw 26.26%
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.68%
2-1 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 4.83%
3-1 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.21%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 11.22%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 8.07%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.52%

Read more!
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth9540156919
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd8602157818
3Stevenage9531146818
4Port Vale95221114-317
5Barnsley95132011916
6Exeter CityExeter9513107316
7Bolton WanderersBolton84221410414
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough94231311214
9Derby CountyDerby8413149513
10Cambridge UnitedCambridge8413107313
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe8413912-313
12Lincoln CityLincoln8332129312
13Bristol Rovers8332129312
14Blackpool833287112
15Leyton Orient9324813-511
16Charlton AthleticCharlton83141111010
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury830549-59
18Northampton TownNorthampton821569-37
19Carlisle UnitedCarlisle9144711-47
20Burton Albion9135614-86
21Wigan AthleticWigan8413131215
22Reading8305710-35
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood8026414-102
24Cheltenham TownCheltenham9018015-151
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