SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
60.65% ( -0.11) | 21.7% ( 0) | 17.64% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( 0.17) | 45.66% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% ( 0.16) | 67.98% ( -0.17) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( 0.02) | 14.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.32% ( 0.04) | 42.67% ( -0.05) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( 0.23) | 39.47% ( -0.23) |
