Oxford United 5-1 Accrington Stanley - League One - September 28, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Accrington Stanley
55.07%	23.44%	21.49%

Both teams to score 52.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.28%

47.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.09%

69.91%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81%

17.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.54%

47.46%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.46%

36.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.68%

73.32%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 55.06%

Accrington Stanley 21.49%

Draw 23.44%

Oxford United	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.74% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.78% Total : 55.06%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.49%

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League One Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	31	8	7	82	47	35	101
P	Ipswich Town Ipswich	46	28	14	4	101	35	66	98
3	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	28	12	6	81	37	44	96
4	Barnsley	46	26	8	12	80	47	33	86
5	Bolton Wanderers Bolton	46	23	12	11	62	36	26	81
6	Peterborough United Peterborough	46	24	5	17	75	54	21	77
7	Derby County Derby	46	21	13	12	67	46	21	76
8	Portsmouth	46	17	19	10	61	50	11	70
9	Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe	46	20	9	17	59	51	8	69
10	Charlton Athletic Charlton	46	16	14	16	70	66	4	62
11	Lincoln City Lincoln	46	14	20	12	47	47	0	62
12	Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury	46	17	8	21	52	61	-9	59
13	Fleetwood Town Fleetwood	46	14	16	16	53	51	2	58
14	Exeter City Exeter	46	15	11	20	64	68	-4	56
15	Burton Albion	46	15	11	20	57	79	-22	56
16	Cheltenham Town Cheltenham	46	14	12	20	45	61	-16	54
17	Bristol Rovers	46	14	11	21	58	73	-15	53
18	Port Vale	46	13	10	23	48	71	-23	49
19	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	11	14	21	49	56	-7	47
20	Cambridge United Cambridge	46	13	7	26	41	68	-27	46
R	MK Dons	46	11	12	23	44	66	-22	45
22	Morecambe	46	10	14	22	47	78	-31	44
R	Accrington Stanley Accrington	46	11	11	24	40	77	-37	44
R	Forest Green Rovers Forest Green	46	6	9	31	31	89	-58	27