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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
OU
AFC Wimbledon
3 - 1
Oxford Utd
Rudoni (55', 81'), Nightingale (78')
Guinness-Walker (37'), Heneghan (54'), Chislett (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sykes (45+1')
Seddon (13')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawOxford United
25.16%25.42%49.43%
Both teams to score 50.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75%52.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05%73.96%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32%35.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55%72.46%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84%21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98%54.02%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 25.16%
    Oxford United 49.42%
    Draw 25.42%
AFC WimbledonDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-1 @ 6.23%
2-0 @ 4.01%
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 25.16%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 11.72%
1-2 @ 9.38%
0-2 @ 9.11%
1-3 @ 4.86%
0-3 @ 4.71%
2-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 49.42%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth26158342222053
2Bolton WanderersBolton24163545242151
3Peterborough UnitedPeterborough25147450272349
4Derby CountyDerby25154647242349
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd25144742291346
6Barnsley24127546281843
7Stevenage25127637251243
8Blackpool26116942321039
9Northampton TownNorthampton25113113133-236
10Bristol Rovers249783433134
11Lincoln CityLincoln2688102929032
12Leyton Orient258892531-632
13Charlton AthleticCharlton257993937230
14Port Vale2586112838-1030
15Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2693141736-1930
16Wycombe WanderersWycombe2578102934-529
17Burton Albion2677122135-1428
18Wigan AthleticWigan25105103530527
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge2476112132-1127
20Exeter CityExeter2575131837-1926
21Reading2576123441-723
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham2565141934-1523
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2648142138-1720
24Fleetwood TownFleetwood2546152245-2318
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