Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
48.02% ( -0.29) | 25.54% ( 0.08) | 26.43% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 51.47% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.2% ( -0.17) | 51.8% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.43% ( -0.15) | 73.56% ( 0.15) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.42% ( -0.19) | 21.58% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.33% ( -0.3) | 54.67% ( 0.31) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.64% ( 0.08) | 34.36% ( -0.08) |