SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
48.66% ( -0.64) | 25.52% ( 0.23) | 25.82% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( -0.63) | 52.13% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( -0.55) | 73.85% ( 0.54) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( -0.54) | 21.44% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.54% ( -0.83) | 54.45% ( 0.82) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( -0) | 35.04% ( -0) |
