Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
