Cheltenham Town 1-1 MK Dons - League One - September 4, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK at Whaddon Road

Cheltenham

1 - 1

MK Dons

Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	MK Dons
39.55%	25.26%	35.18%

Both teams to score 56.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.99%

47.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75%

69.25%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47%

23.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.42%

57.58%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09%

25.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.1%

60.9%

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 39.55%

MK Dons 35.18%

Draw 25.26%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 8.82% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.06% Total : 39.55%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 8.23% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.38% Total : 35.18%

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League One Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	41	26	8	7	71	44	27	86
2	Ipswich Town Ipswich	41	24	13	4	85	32	53	85
3	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	42	24	12	6	73	35	38	84
4	Barnsley	41	25	6	10	74	38	36	81
5	Bolton Wanderers Bolton	41	20	11	10	55	32	23	71
6	Peterborough United Peterborough	42	22	4	16	71	50	21	70
7	Derby County Derby	42	19	12	11	63	43	20	69
8	Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe	42	19	8	15	55	43	12	65
9	Portsmouth	42	16	16	10	56	46	10	64
10	Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury	41	16	8	17	49	53	-4	56
11	Charlton Athletic Charlton	42	14	13	15	62	59	3	55
12	Lincoln City Lincoln	41	12	19	10	42	43	-1	55
13	Exeter City Exeter	42	14	11	17	59	56	3	53
14	Fleetwood Town Fleetwood	42	13	14	15	50	47	3	53
15	Bristol Rovers	40	14	10	16	54	62	-8	52
16	Burton Albion	40	13	9	18	54	76	-22	48
17	Cheltenham Town Cheltenham	42	12	11	19	37	54	-17	47
18	Port Vale	42	12	10	20	42	63	-21	46
19	MK Dons	42	11	10	21	40	60	-20	43
20	Oxford United Oxford Utd	41	9	13	19	40	51	-11	40
21	Cambridge United Cambridge	41	11	7	23	35	61	-26	40
22	Morecambe	43	8	14	21	39	71	-32	38
23	Accrington Stanley Accrington	41	9	11	21	35	71	-36	38
R	Forest Green Rovers Forest Green	42	6	8	28	30	81	-51	26