SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Portsmouth |
22.4% ( -0.03) | 23.8% ( -0.02) | 53.8% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( 0.04) | 48.2% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( 0.04) | 70.35% ( -0.04) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( -0.01) | 35.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.29% ( -0.01) | 72.7% ( 0.01) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.17% ( 0.03) | 17.83% ( -0.03) |
