SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
37.09% ( 1.75) | 25.66% ( 0.38) | 37.25% ( -2.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( -1.61) | 48.66% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( -1.48) | 70.77% ( 1.48) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.24) | 25.6% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.52% ( 0.33) | 60.48% ( -0.33) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( -1.87) | 25.51% ( 1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.64% ( -2.62) | 60.36% ( 2.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.09% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.2)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
| 7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
| 20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
| 21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
| 22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
| 24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
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