SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
56.4% ( 0.58) | 22.47% ( 0.03) | 21.13% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 55.19% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.03% ( -0.88) | 43.97% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.65% ( -0.87) | 66.35% ( 0.88) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% ( -0.11) | 15.4% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.79% ( -0.21) | 44.21% ( 0.22) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.24% ( -1.07) | 34.76% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.5% ( -1.15) | 71.49% ( 1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 56.39% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.47% | 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
| 3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
| 7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
| 14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
| 16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
| 19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
| 21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
| 22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
| 24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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