SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Portsmouth |
25.58% ( -0.02) | 24.38% ( 0) | 50.04% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( -0.02) | 47.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( -0.02) | 69.87% ( 0.02) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( -0.03) | 32.85% ( 0.02) |
