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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
BA
Charlton
1 - 1
Burton Albion
Jones (19')
Dobson (63'), Jones (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sweeney (90+1')
Carayol (67'), Kamwa (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-0 Burton Albion

Charlton may be frustrated by a flurry of draws, but we think that they will return to winning ways against a Burton side that will be low on confidence following a run of five consecutive league defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
66.14% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08) 19.11% (0.02 0.02) 14.76% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57% (0.045000000000002 0.05)39.43% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.23% (0.046999999999997 0.05)61.77% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)11.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)35.5% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69% (0.112 0.11)39.31% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (0.103 0.1)76.02% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 66.14%
    Burton Albion 14.76%
    Draw 19.11%
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 66.14%
1-1 @ 8.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.11%
1-2 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 14.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Cambridge
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Charlton (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, December 6 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Cheltenham
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Mansfield
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth27158442251753
2Peterborough UnitedPeterborough26157452282452
3Bolton WanderersBolton24163545242151
4Derby CountyDerby25154647242349
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd26154745301549
6Barnsley25137548291946
7Stevenage26137638251346
8Blackpool27126944321242
9Northampton TownNorthampton26114113234-237
10Leyton Orient269892831-335
11Bristol Rovers259793535034
12Lincoln CityLincoln2789103030033
13Port Vale2687112838-1031
14Charlton AthleticCharlton2679104039130
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe2679103035-530
16Cambridge UnitedCambridge2586112333-1030
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2793151737-2030
18Wigan AthleticWigan26106103631528
19Burton Albion2677122135-1428
20Exeter CityExeter2675141839-2126
21Reading2677123441-724
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham2565141934-1523
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2748152241-1920
24Fleetwood TownFleetwood2646162347-2418
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