Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
