Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.05%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
University College Dublin | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
14.67% ( -0.66) | 22.79% ( 0.09) | 62.55% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 42.31% ( -1.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.08% ( -1.41) | 54.93% ( 1.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% ( -1.18) | 76.21% ( 1.19) |
University College Dublin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.06% ( -1.8) | 48.95% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.09% ( -1.32) | 83.92% ( 1.33) |
Sligo Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.87% ( -0.29) | 17.13% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.65% ( -0.53) | 47.35% ( 0.54) |
Score Analysis |
University College Dublin | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.76% Total : 14.67% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 14.79% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 13.05% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 7.68% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.16) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 62.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Derry CityDerry | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
4 | DundalkDundalk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
5 | Bohemians | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
6 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 30 |
7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
9 | Cork City | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
10 | University College DublinUCD | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 50 | -37 | 9 |
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