SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
14.69% ( -0.01) | 21.05% ( -0.01) | 64.27% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.82% ( 0.03) | 48.18% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( 0.03) | 70.34% ( -0.03) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.18% ( 0) | 44.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.21% ( 0) | 80.79% ( 0) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( 0.02) | 14.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.92% ( 0.03) | 42.08% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.01% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.36% Total : 14.69% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.05% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 12.12% 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-3 @ 7.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.83% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 64.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 9 | Cork City | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 50 | -37 | 9 |
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