Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
