Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 68.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.93%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
