Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
