Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
37.78% ( 0.03) | 26.95% ( 0.01) | 35.27% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.79% ( -0.03) | 54.21% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.38% ( -0.02) | 75.61% ( 0.02) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% ( 0) | 27.81% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.6% ( 0.01) | 63.4% ( -0.01) |
Shamrock Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% ( -0.03) | 29.32% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.71% ( -0.04) | 65.29% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Derry CityDerry | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 34 |
2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 33 |
3 | Bohemians | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 30 |
4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 29 |
5 | DundalkDundalk | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
6 | Shelbourne | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 20 |
9 | Cork City | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 15 |
10 | University College DublinUCD | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 38 | -29 | 6 |
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