SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Finn Harps |
47.03% ( -1.11) | 24.02% ( 0.22) | 28.95% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( -0.41) | 43.66% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( -0.4) | 66.05% ( 0.41) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% ( -0.6) | 18.72% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.91% ( -1.02) | 50.09% ( 1.02) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( 0.42) | 28.22% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.08% ( 0.52) | 63.92% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Finn Harps |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.37% Total : 47.03% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bohemians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | DundalkDundalk | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Sligo RoversSligo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Cork City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 1 |
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