Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finn Harps win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finn Harps win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.