SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Finn Harps | Draw | Dundalk |
23.73% ( 0.02) | 26.21% ( 0.01) | 50.06% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% ( -0.03) | 56.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% ( -0.02) | 77.38% ( 0.02) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.76% | 39.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.05% ( -0) | 75.95% |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% ( -0.03) | 22.58% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.82% ( -0.04) | 56.18% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Finn Harps | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.34% 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 23.73% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( -0)1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Derry CityDerry | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Sligo RoversSligo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Cork City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
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