Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
