Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
