SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Real Sociedad |
31.13% ( 0.05) | 26.81% ( -0.02) | 42.06% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.52% ( 0.1) | 54.48% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.16% ( 0.08) | 75.84% ( -0.09) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( 0.09) | 32.2% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.31% ( 0.1) | 68.68% ( -0.11) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.02) | 25.59% ( -0.03) |
