SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Girona |
52.49% ( -0.57) | 24.41% ( 0.36) | 23.09% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( -1.26) | 50% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( -1.13) | 71.98% ( 1.13) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% ( -0.7) | 19.01% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.42% ( -1.17) | 50.57% ( 1.17) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( -0.5) | 36.29% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.92% ( -0.52) | 73.07% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.08% Total : 52.49% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 23.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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