SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Barcelona |
15.99% ( -0.3) | 20.72% ( -0.01) | 63.29% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( -0.52) | 44.28% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( -0.5) | 66.66% ( 0.51) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.32% ( -0.69) | 40.68% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.73% ( -0.63) | 77.27% ( 0.63) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.65% ( -0.07) | 13.34% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.78% ( -0.15) | 40.22% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.99% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.72% | 0-2 @ 11.01% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.22)1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.72% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 63.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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