Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 11.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
69.59% ( 0.13) | 18.65% ( -0.08) | 11.76% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.75% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.53% ( 0.26) | 44.47% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.16% ( 0.25) | 66.84% ( -0.25) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.38% ( 0.11) | 11.62% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.37% ( 0.23) | 36.63% ( -0.23) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.89% ( 0.09) | 47.11% ( -0.09) |