SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.38%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 12.65% | 20.64% ( -0) | 66.7% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 43.26% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( 0.02) | 50.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0.02) | 72.6% ( -0.02) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.49% ( 0.01) | 49.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.69% ( 0.01) | 84.31% ( -0.01) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.66% ( 0.01) | 14.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.82% ( 0.01) | 42.17% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.5% Total : 12.65% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.64% | 0-1 @ 13.78% 0-2 @ 13.38% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.21% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.64% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 66.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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