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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
49.08%23.74%27.18%
Both teams to score 57.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.42%43.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.02%65.97%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12%17.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34%48.66%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56%29.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56%65.44%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 49.08%
    Real Madrid 27.18%
    Draw 23.73%
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 9.54%
1-0 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.8%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-0 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-1 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 3.94%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 27.18%

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La Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Almeria00000000
2Athletic Bilbao00000000
3Atletico MadridAtletico00000000
4CadizCadiz00000000
5Celta Vigo00000000
6ElcheElche00000000
7Espanyol00000000
8Barcelona00000000
9Getafe00000000
10GironaGirona00000000
11Mallorca00000000
12Osasuna00000000
13Rayo Vallecano00000000
14Real Betis00000000
15Real Madrid00000000
16Real Sociedad00000000
17Real Valladolid00000000
18Sevilla00000000
19Valencia00000000
20Villarreal00000000
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