Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shimizu S-Pulse would win this match.
