Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
