MX23RW : Saturday, July 1 21:27:13
SM
Saturday, July 1
J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Sagan Tosu
1 - 2
Urawa
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kante (11'), Iwao (38')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-6 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, June 28 at 11.30am in J1 League

We said: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds

While the scorelines that both these sides recorded in their match look impressive on the surface, we can arguably draw a line across those results on the basis that they were playing a team that have been bleeding goals this season. This looks like a much more even contest, and with both sides protecting a solid record in recent weeks, we feel that chances will be hard to come by and that they will eventually cancel each other out in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw has a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sagan Tosu has a probability of 26.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it is 1-0 (8.81%).

Result
Sagan TosuDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
26.55% (0.104 0.1) 26.67% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 46.78% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.25% (0.126 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (0.124 0.12)56.05% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (0.097999999999999 0.1)77.13% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (0.157 0.16)36.56% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (0.157 0.16)73.35% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05% (0.01100000000001 0.01)23.95% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.82% (0.015999999999998 0.02)58.18% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 26.55%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 46.78%
    Draw 26.66%
Sagan TosuDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.13% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 12.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-6 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-2 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 3 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, May 27 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, May 20 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, June 28 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 1-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, June 24 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-0 Urawa
Sunday, June 11 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, June 4 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Hiroshima
Wednesday, May 31 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-2 Urawa
Saturday, May 27 at 11am in J1 League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yokohama F MarinosYokohama18123338201839
2Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus19115327161138
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe18114337142337
4Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa19106327151236
5Cerezo OsakaCerezo1910272721632
6Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers198562418629
7Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima199282219329
8Consadole SapporoConsadole197664037327
9Sagan Tosu197572623326
10Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki187472121025
11FC Tokyo197482528-325
12Avispa Fukuoka196581825-723
13Albirex Niigata195682128-721
14Kyoto Sanga1962112229-720
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka195592334-1120
16Yokohama FCYokohama FC1935111437-2314
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol1927101629-1313
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare1826102438-1412
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