Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
