Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
