Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashiwa Reysol in this match.
