Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gamba Osaka in this match.
