MX23RW : Thursday, November 17 16:19:21
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Nov 17, 2022 at 1.40pm UK at BMO Field
Canada
1 - 2
Japan
Soma (9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vitoria (21'), Cavallini (90+5' pen.)
Johnston (18'), Vitoria (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Canada
Friday, November 11 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Japan
Tuesday, September 27 at 12.55pm in International Friendlies

We said: Canada 0-1 Japan

The minor injury to Davies seems to have served as a warning call to Herdman to take it easy and rest his star wing-back ahead of the World Cup. Regardless of how long the top players for either side feature in this match, we are leaning towards the Samurai Blue, who should be able to control the game's pace in the midfield while being a formidable defensive unit to break down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Canada win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Japan has a probability of 27.04% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Japan win is 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.12%).

Result
CanadaDrawJapan
47.47% (-0.188 -0.19) 25.48% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 27.04% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)51.17% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.02% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)21.56% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35% (-0.165 -0.16)54.65% (0.164 0.16)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (0.090999999999994 0.09)33.54% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (0.097999999999999 0.1)70.18% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Canada 47.47%
    Japan 27.04%
    Draw 25.48%
CanadaDrawJapan
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Canada
Friday, November 11 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 0-2 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Qatar 0-2 Canada
Friday, September 23 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Honduras 2-1 Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Canada 4-0 Curacao
Friday, June 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Japan
Tuesday, September 27 at 12.55pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 2-0 USA
Friday, September 23 at 1.25pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Paraguay
Thursday, June 2 at 11am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 1-1 Vietnam
Tuesday, March 29 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Australia 0-2 Japan
Thursday, March 24 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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