Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Canada had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panama in this match.