MX23RW : Sunday, June 18 18:16:06
SM
Nations League final: 28 mins
AN
friendly | Friendlies 1
Mar 29, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades
CN
Argentina
7 - 0
Curacao
Messi (20', 33', 37'), Gonzalez (23'), Fernandez (35'), di Maria (78'), Montiel (87')
De Paul (81')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Anita (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Panama
Thursday, March 23 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Curacao 0-2 Canada
Sunday, March 26 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Argentina 3-0 Curacao

With plenty of fringe and uncapped players hoping to stamp their authority on the Argentina team, Scaloni should keep a plethora of his big-hitters in reserve - not that it would make any difference to the overall result. Argentina took a while to get going against Panama, but Curacao have been conceding goals at will, and the Albiceleste jubilation should continue with a straightforward friendly triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 83.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 5.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 4-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.27%), while for a Curacao win it was 0-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawCuracao
83.47% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 11.14% (0.037000000000001 0.04) 5.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 44.91% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.33% (-0.206 -0.21)30.67% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48% (-0.246 -0.25)52% (0.25 0.25)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.68% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)5.32% (0.047 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.08% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)20.92% (0.137 0.14)
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.43% (-0.154 -0.15)52.56% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)86.37% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 83.46%
    Curacao 5.39%
    Draw 11.14%
ArgentinaDrawCuracao
2-0 @ 12.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 11.76% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.55% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 5.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 3.26% (-0.025 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.59% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
7-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 83.46%
1-1 @ 5.27% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.79% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 11.14%
0-1 @ 1.8% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 5.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Panama
Thursday, March 23 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 3-3 France (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, December 18 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Croatia
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 2-1 Australia
Saturday, December 3 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Poland 0-2 Argentina
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Curacao 0-2 Canada
Sunday, March 26 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Indonesia 2-1 Curacao
Tuesday, September 27 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Indonesia 3-2 Curacao
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 4-0 Curacao
Friday, June 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Curacao
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Curacao 0-1 Honduras
Saturday, June 4 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
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