SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Benfica |
32.83% ( 0.21) | 23.01% ( -0.04) | 44.16% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 64.15% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.05% ( 0.27) | 36.94% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.87% ( 0.29) | 59.13% ( -0.29) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0.25) | 22.51% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.93% ( 0.36) | 56.07% ( -0.37) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( 0.04) | 17.22% ( -0.04) |
