SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Carlisle United |
41.31% ( -0.03) | 26.28% ( -0.01) | 32.42% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.58% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( 0.04) | 51.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% ( 0.04) | 73.7% ( -0.04) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( 0) | 24.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.56% ( 0) | 59.43% ( -0) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( 0.04) | 30.03% ( -0.05) |
