SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 73.51%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 3-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Norwich City |
73.51% ( -0.16) | 14.86% ( 0.18) | 11.63% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.36% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.03% ( -1.06) | 25.97% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.83% ( -1.37) | 46.17% ( 1.37) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.91% ( -0.26) | 6.09% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.86% ( -0.74) | 23.13% ( 0.74) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( -0.83) | 34.66% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.61% ( -0.9) | 71.39% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.17)1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.35% Total : 73.51% | 1-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.32% Total : 14.86% | 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 11.63% |
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