Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.
