SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Chesterfield |
31.76% ( -0.04) | 25.72% ( 0) | 42.52% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.15% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.17% ( -0.04) | 49.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.17% ( -0.03) | 71.82% ( 0.03) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.04) | 29.41% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.6% ( -0.05) | 65.4% ( 0.05) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( 0) | 23.29% ( -0) |
